Evo Morales | Louis Ars | Raul Benaranda analyzes Bolivian politics: “What’s at stake here is the possibility of a 2025 presidency” | Movement for Socialism (MAS) | the world

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“I repeat, (you) have to take care of Lucho Ars, I ask healthy and honest leaders without prejudice, because he is “following them” to “make some montage”, said Evo Morales, former Bolivian president and head of the ruling Movement for Socialism, according to EFE. (MAS).

These statements by Evo Morales were added to those mentioned on Tuesday 13 by Gerardo García, vice-president of the MAS, who indicated that party leaders regretted the “election of President” Luis Arce.

“Now he has betrayed us and we have seen that it is the worst. Betrayal is the most painful (…) Instead of us making a government initiative, they keep saying they belong to MAS, but they are acting the other way, they are trying to create their own politics. , are trying to structure,” he said. Vice President of MAS.

For her part, María Nela Prada, Minister of the Bolivian Presidency, disagreed with Gerardo Garcia.

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“We deeply regret these statements and firmly and completely reject them (…) We have not betrayed and will not betray the principles of our political movement,” the minister said at a press conference on Wednesday 14.

Bolivian journalist and political analyst Raul Benaranda spoke with El Comercio about Evo Morales, President Luis Arce, the Movement for Socialism (MAS) and the 2025 Bolivian elections.

What is Evo Morales’ position on Luis Arce’s government?

There is a long distance between Evo Morales and Luis Arce. This is incredible because Luis Arce was Evo Morales’ economy minister and a very close ally. It was Evo who nominated Ars, thinking he was going to be a more subdued figure, perhaps with a view to running in 2025. Maybe that’s the calculation.

Is staying away an advantage or disadvantage for Evo Morales?

Evo has made the distance, not Arce. I have a hypothesis that Evo Morales expects Arce to say early in his term that he will not be a candidate in 2025. By not doing so, Morales started to get a lot of nerves. Added to this is the fact that Ars has a better image than him in opinion polls.

We can also assume that Ars is undecided about competing in 2025. This is also possible.

What will Evo Morales be looking for at this distance?

It’s a tough battle, especially from Evo and his key allies. Not much from Ars who doesn’t answer directly. He made some hints but his strategy was not the answer. It consists of bench members Arcist There are representatives who respond strongly, but generally Ars and ministers avoid confrontation.

What is at stake here is a possible 2025 presidency. Both Evo Morales and Luis Arce carry electoral weight.

Does the poll support Lewis Arce?

President Arce has not indicated that he wants to be a candidate, but everything indicates that he could be. In addition, he appears in opinion polls with high popularity. When people are asked which demographics have the most support, not necessarily in the election, but even in low numbers have a good image, Ars comes first. It changes a little in the voting intent, but it’s not worth emphasizing. In the film, although it went down, it has a better image than Evo Morales.

Evo Morales tweeted, “Dignified and honest colleagues of the Ministry of the President are warning us about the dirty war” and another point of his publication says “the plan is to destroy our image to justify an attack on our freedom or our lives”. .” What do you think about that?

The tweet shows the state of mind of Evo Morales. He has no balance now. It is absolutely not. I think he fears that the government might start a smear campaign. He always talks about how they want to destroy him, like putting a band-aid before a wound.

Evo Morales’ latest tweet about an attack on his freedom or his life is a complete exaggeration. That doesn’t happen in Bolivia. It is not possible. But he is afraid, he is waiting for action from the government which never comes. The government always responds with silence.

Evo is in a state of increasing extremism, which prevents him from seeing reality adequately. I’m not sure if this type of message is supported by your database.

Is the Movement for Socialism (MAS) weakening?

MAS continues to be an important force. There may be two candidates, it is not known whose brief it is. This time, the owner who controls the brief before the Supreme Electoral Tribunal is Evo Morales. Likewise, I don’t think it would be difficult for Luis Arce to run another party.