:quality(75)/cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/elcomercio/US65TA7CHRGCLJU2G32Y4TJSC4.jpg "Extreme heatwaves to continue in winter: Everything you need to know about hot temperatures in Lima | lime | winter | Winter 2023 | Heat | cold | Seaside Child | Child | Weather | Temperature | Senamhi | lime")
Grinia Avalos, deputy director of climate forecasting at Chenamhi, told El Comercio This weather will continue till next year Due to the phenomenon of El Niño Costero prevailing in Peru and the formation of El Niño Global.
According to experts, this has an 81% probability A discrepancy of 3°C to 5°C Temperatures above normal, mainly in coastal areas.
Avalos notes that normal values for June in metropolitan Lima range from 22°C to 23°C of maximum temperature during the day, while minimum temperature values at night and early morning vary between 15°C and 16°C.
“However, what is happening now is that the minimum values are around 22 to 23 degrees Celsius. It is expected that The maximum temperature will be above 27 degrees The rest of the winter in metropolitan Lima”, he explained.
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This week, Capital Register A Hello daytime heat, an event not recorded in winter since the El Niño event that occurred between 2015 and 2016. Avalos explains that heat waves occur when the maximum temperature is recorded 3 degrees above normal for 3 consecutive days. For example, last Wednesday, July 19, Senamhi stations recorded maximum temperatures of 25.3 °C (La Molina), 23.6 °C (El Callao) and 23.5 °C (Jesús María). Very hot Y very hot.
Avalos confirms that the current daytime wave will peak over the weekend. However, it declares This event may repeat itself later in the year.
On the other hand, according to Senamhi, the sky is covered in the mornings during the remaining days of winter. Single drizzleMainly in Lima, maybe in the afternoon The wind blows.
Chenamhi presented this magazine Average maximum temperature Y At the very least On the coast in July, August, September and October.
Photo: Senamhi
Note that the difference between Beach Boy Y El Nino globel The sea surface temperature anomaly falls within the measured ocean regions. For the coastal region, region 1+2 is analyzed, which lies off the coasts of Peru and Ecuador, the eastern Pacific. Globally, the central Pacific, Niño 3.4 region, which lies in the middle of the ocean, is monitored.
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This map, published by the US National Climatic Data Center (NOAA), shows the different measurement zones. Niño 1+2 segment is near the Peruvian coast and defines El Niño costero. As the temperature increases, a global phenomenon is identified in Section 3.4.
What are heat waves?
A long time Unusually high temperatures followed for 3 consecutive days with similar levels of humidity Also, it is recognized as a meteorological Warm greetingsIt is currently caused by a natural phenomenon in Peru Beach Boy.
With climate change, they are expected to change more frequently Serious in the future, which leaves affected people in ‘shock’, prone to dehydration and developing chronic cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. Meanwhile, according to the Multisectoral Commission in Charge of the National Study of the El Niño Phenomenon (ENFEN), the magnitude of the global El Niño will be weak in winter and moderate in spring.
During the July-September quarter, the north coast is forecast to receive slightly above normal rainfall. Additionally, the summer of 2024 is likely to see moderate to heavy rainfall over the northern coast and northern highlands.
From July 23rd to 25th
Winds will increase along the coast
From Sunday 23rd to Tuesday 25th July, The Wind speeds will increase along the coast. On Sunday, July 23, wind gusts of up to 33 km/h are forecast for the mid-south coast.
This increase can mainly be generated along the Iga coast Dust and sand lifting. This reduces horizontal visibility. Also, cloud cover, fog and drizzle are likely.
Coastal El Niño will last until the summer of 2024
The Enfen Multidisciplinary Commission indicated in a statement that it maintains the state “Coastal El Niño Warning”, as this climate event is expected to continue until the summer of 2024, as a result of the high probability of the development of El Niño in the Central Pacific. The commission estimates that the most likely magnitudes of El Niño costero in 2024 will be between weak (40%) and moderate (35%).
Also, in July, maximum anomalous monthly warming is reached. In the following months, the anomalous heat conditions will decrease from strong to moderate in intensity.
