Unbearably hot summer: Above-normal temperatures are predicted for almost the entire country Heat | wave | Child | Global Warming | Sun | Summer | El Nino event | lime

In less than a month, summer will begin in the country. Definitely, December 21. For three months, Peruvians will endure the extreme heat predicted for this period, which is already felt throughout the year. Temperature indices are expected to surpass historical records, as a result of the El Nino phenomenon –It will be extended until next fall– and global warming.

What is certain is that there is no need to wait for summer to determine that Peru is recording heat waves and extreme temperatures. Less than a month later, on October 29, Metropolitan Lima hit a temperature record, according to historical values ​​for the tenth month of the year. He National Meteorological and Hydrological Service of Peru (Cenamhi) He explained that it reached 28 degrees Celsius (°C) in San Juan de Luricancho. “During the El Niño 2023/2024 scenario, average temperatures increased by 1.75 °C above the historical average.” said the Meteorological Department.

At the end of September and during October, temperatures in the Peruvian jungles can reach 38 degrees Celsius and temperatures up to 44 degrees Celsius. Billuana and Dingo de Bonaza districts in the San Martín region were under temperatures that reached 40.2 degrees Celsius and 41.4 degrees respectively, thus marking the highest measurement of Dingo de Bonaza so far this year. According to Chenamhi, the Puerto Esperanza station in Ucayali recorded temperatures above 40 degrees for three consecutive days.

In October, Senamhi reported, 1Record temperatures were recorded at 90 places across the country this month. Even 34 of these exceeded the values ​​achieved in the last 60 years. The most affected departments include Puno, Madre de Dios, San Martín, Huánuco, Cusco, Piura, Arequipa, Ucayali and Loreto. The regions with the largest anomalies are the northern coast (+2.3 °C), the southern highlands (+2.0 °C) and the southern forest (+2.1 °C).

A global phenomenon

The World Meteorological Organization -a specialized agency of the United Nations- reported that the period between January and August this year is the second hottest period on the planet. The record is maintained in 2016, “When there was a powerful El Niño warming event” says the report. However, August 2023 has the highest sea surface temperature in August, exceeding that recorded in 2016.

“Eight months into 2023, we are already experiencing our second warmest year yet, slightly cooler than 2016, with August estimated to be 1.5°C warmer than pre-industrial levels. What we are seeing are not just new extremes, but the persistence of these unprecedented conditions and their impacts on both people and the planet, a clear consequence of a warming climate system.”, commented Carlo Buntempo, director Copernicus Climate Change ServiceHe European Union Earth Observation ProjectAt the end of August.

Warm forecast

According to Senamhi’s climate forecast for November to January 2024, practically the entire country – except the North-Eastern Hills – will experience above-normal maximum temperatures. Minimum temperatures are also above average throughout Peru, except for the southeastern mountains and southwestern mountains.

“In terms of air temperature, both the minimum and maximum temperatures will be above normal along the Peruvian coast, the maximum and minimum temperatures will be normal to normal in the Andean region and it will prevail in the Peruvian Amazon.” says the Senmahi statement.

For its part, the latest report Multidisciplinary Commission responsible for the National Study of the El Niño Phenomenon (ENFEN). Given the persistence of coastal El Niño through the fall of 2024, it highlights that strong warm conditions will last until February. The most likely levels for this phenomenon are strong (39%) and moderate (38%). Likewise, climate anomalies in the central Pacific will continue into the fall,”It reaches its maximum intensity between the end of this year and the beginning of 2024″, citing the document.